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Indonesia - Liga 1 Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00 
Dewa Utd PPG 1.73 
Semen Padang PPG 0.53
Indonesia - Liga 1 Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00 Dewa Utd PPG 1.731-0 HIT CS2
Semen Padang PPG 0.53Draw· +31.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.1% Odds: 1.48 -30.3%
Over 3.5 25.5% Odds: 2.20 -43.9%
BTTS 48.8% Odds: 1.70 -17.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Dewa Utd 1.70
Semen Padang 0.86
Model Suggestion
Home -26.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -26.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+31.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+31.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 51 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 49%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -7.4%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.73) vs P(Home)=55.5%