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Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 8 Saturday, April 18, 2026 04:00
Edgeworth E. logo Edgeworth E. PPG 3.00
2-1 HIT CS4
Charlestown A. logo Charlestown A. PPG 1.33
Away· +54.4% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.5%
Odds: 1.91 EV: -43.7%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -19.4%
Away 46.8%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +54.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 35.7% Odds: —
BTTS 59.8% Odds: 1.53 -8.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 2-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Edgeworth E.
1.31
Charlestown A.
1.71

Model Suggestion

BTTS -8.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=29.5%

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