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SGS Essen W vs Leverkusen W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Germany - Frauen Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 24 Stadion Essen· Essen Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00
SGS Essen W logo SGS Essen W PPG 0.73
0-4 MISS
Leverkusen W logo Leverkusen W PPG 1.45
Over3.5· +17.2% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

SGS Essen W face Leverkusen W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SGS Essen W a 20% chance, the draw 23% and Leverkusen W 57%, so Leverkusen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for SGS Essen W and 2.1 for Leverkusen W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SGS Essen W are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.45 for Leverkusen W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.2%. This match finished 0-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.7%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +14.3%
Draw 23.4%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -4.1%
Away 57.0%
Odds: 1.45 EV: -17.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.6% Odds: 1.70 +9.8%
Over 3.5 42.6% Odds: 2.75 +17.2%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.80 +13.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

SGS Essen W
1.21
Leverkusen W
2.12

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +9.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+17.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 28%
ROI 6.0%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.45) vs Home POOR (0.73)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org