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Augsburg B vs Bayreuth Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:00

Augsburg B

PPG 0.73 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bayreuth

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.73), Away POOR (0.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-110.1%0-26.0%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.9%1-112.9%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-18.2%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.0%3-13.5%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% — — —

Draw 31.1% — — —

Away win 32.2% — — —

Over 2.5 44.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.4% — — —

BTTS 51.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.9%

D 31% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 8.2%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Augsburg B1.3

Bayreuth1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AUGSBURG B · PPG 0.73

BAYREUTH · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.73), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Augsburg B (H) 36.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bayreuth (A) 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Augsburg B face Bayreuth in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Augsburg B a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Bayreuth 32%, so Augsburg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Augsburg B and 1.2 for Bayreuth (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Augsburg B are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 0.93 for Bayreuth. This match finished 3-1.

Augsburg B vs Bayreuth Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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