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Eintracht Trier vs Hessen Kassel Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:00

Eintracht Trier

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Hessen Kassel

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-15.8%0-24.6%0-32.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-06.3%1-110.0%1-27.9%1-34.1%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.6%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.2%3-15.0%3-23.9%3-32.1%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.2%4+-22.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% — — —

Draw 25.9% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 42.2% — — —

BTTS 66.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob66.8%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht Trier1.7

Hessen Kassel1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT TRIER · PPG 2.00

HESSEN KASSEL · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht Trier (H) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hessen Kassel (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht Trier face Hessen Kassel in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht Trier a 40% chance, the draw 26% and Hessen Kassel 34%, so Eintracht Trier are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Eintracht Trier and 1.6 for Hessen Kassel (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht Trier are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Hessen Kassel. This match finished 0-2.

Eintracht Trier vs Hessen Kassel Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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