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Zwickau vs RW Erfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 32 GGZ-Arena Zwickau· Zwickau Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00
Zwickau logo Zwickau PPG 2.33
2-1 HIT CS2
RW Erfurt logo RW Erfurt PPG 2.07
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Zwickau face RW Erfurt in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zwickau a 37% chance, the draw 28% and RW Erfurt 36%, so Zwickau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Zwickau and 1.5 for RW Erfurt (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zwickau are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.07 for RW Erfurt. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 28.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 35.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 33.9% Odds: —
BTTS 61.0% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Zwickau
1.48
RW Erfurt
1.46

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 47%
ROI 12.3%
Bet Hit 67% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.33), Away EXCELLENT (2.07)

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