Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost / H. Zehlendorf vs Magdeburg B

H. Zehlendorf vs Magdeburg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:00

H. Zehlendorf logo
H. Zehlendorf
PPG 0.60 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Magdeburg B logo
Magdeburg B
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-18.8%0-28.3%0-35.3%0-4+3.9%1 1-05.4%1-110.3%1-29.8%1-36.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.2%2-16.1%2-25.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.7%3 3-01.2%3-12.4%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 21.8%
Draw 25.4%
Away win 52.8%
Over 2.5 59.4%
Over 3.5 37.0%
BTTS 60.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 47%
ROI 9.8%
Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob60.4%

A 53% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%
#2 1–2 9.8%
#3 0–2 8.3%
#4 0–1 8.8%
#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

H. Zehlendorf1.2
Magdeburg B1.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

H. ZEHLENDORF · PPG 0.60

MAGDEBURG B · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

H. Zehlendorf (H) 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Magdeburg B (A) 52.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

H. Zehlendorf face Magdeburg B in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives H. Zehlendorf a 22% chance, the draw 25% and Magdeburg B 53%, so Magdeburg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for H. Zehlendorf and 1.9 for Magdeburg B (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, H. Zehlendorf are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.33 for Magdeburg B. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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