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Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer FC Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:00

Altglienicke

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Chemnitzer FC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-16.6%0-24.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.2%1-111.2%1-26.8%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.5%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.4%3-15.4%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.3%4+-22.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 25.7% — — —

Over 2.5 55.7% — — —

Over 3.5 33.3% — — —

BTTS 59.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.1%

H 47% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Altglienicke1.7

Chemnitzer FC1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.7% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ALTGLIENICKE · PPG 1.67

CHEMNITZER FC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Altglienicke (H) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Chemnitzer FC (A) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Altglienicke face Chemnitzer FC in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altglienicke a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Chemnitzer FC 26%, so Altglienicke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Altglienicke and 1.2 for Chemnitzer FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altglienicke are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Chemnitzer FC. This match finished 1-2.

Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer FC Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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