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Kolding IF vs Hvidovre Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 11:00

Kolding IF

PPG 1.62 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hvidovre

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-111.1%0-26.7%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.8%1-113.1%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.4%2-17.7%2-24.7%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.5%3-13.0%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.3% 33.3% 3.00 -0.1%

Draw 31.7% 31.3% 3.20 +1.4%

Away win 35.0% 44.4% 2.25 -21.3%

Over 2.5 42.6% 50.0% 2.00 -14.8%

Over 3.5 21.8% 29.4% 3.40 -25.9%

BTTS 50.5% 58.8% 1.70 -14.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob50.5%

D 32% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 43% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolding IF1.2

Hvidovre1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.6% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.62

HVIDOVRE · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away GOOD (1.77)

Win probability 1X2

Kolding IF (H) 33.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -0.1%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +1.4%

Hvidovre (A) 35.0%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolding IF face Hvidovre in Denmark - 1. Division on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolding IF a 33% chance, the draw 32% and Hvidovre 35%, so Hvidovre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kolding IF and 1.2 for Hvidovre (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolding IF are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.77 for Hvidovre. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Kolding IF vs Hvidovre Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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