Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 35 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara· Bologna Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:30

Bologna PPG 1.18

0-0 HIT CS2

Cagliari PPG 0.82

Away· +12.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -20.4%

Draw 30.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +4.0%

Away 25.9%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +12.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.1% Odds: 2.10 -7.4%

Over 3.5 23.0% Odds: 3.80 -12.6%

BTTS 50.6% Odds: 1.93 -2.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bologna

1.40

Cagliari

1.04

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.82)