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Inhulets vs P. Horodenka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Inhulets

PPG 1.58 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

P. Horodenka

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-19.3%0-24.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.4%1-112.8%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-18.8%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.2%3-14.0%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% — — —

Draw 31.2% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 41.2% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 47.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.8%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 1–0 13.4%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inhulets1.4

P. Horodenka1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.2% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

INHULETS · PPG 1.58

P. HORODENKA · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Inhulets (H) 44.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

P. Horodenka (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inhulets face P. Horodenka in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inhulets a 45% chance, the draw 31% and P. Horodenka 24%, so Inhulets are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Inhulets and 1.0 for P. Horodenka (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inhulets are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.08 for P. Horodenka. This match finished 3-1.

Inhulets vs P. Horodenka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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