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Peru - Primera División
Apertura - 11
Estadio Municipal Los Chankas· Andahuaylas
Friday, April 17, 2026
20:00
Los Chankas
PPG 3.00
2-0
HIT CS2
Atletico Grau
PPG 0.40
Home· -4.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
57.7%
Odds: 1.65
EV: -4.8%
Draw
26.0%
Odds: 3.55
EV: -7.7%
Away
16.3%
Odds: 5.50
EV: -10.3%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
36.8%
Odds: 2.20
-19.0%
Over 3.5
17.4%
Odds: 4.20
-26.9%
BTTS
37.6%
Odds: 2.05
-22.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
2-0
✔
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Chankas
1.50
Atletico Grau
0.66
Model Suggestion
Home
-4.8%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=57.7%