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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 35 Estadio de la Ceramica· Villarreal Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Villarreal B logo Villarreal B PPG 1.71
1-0 HIT CS2
Hercules logo Hercules PPG 0.65
Draw· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.3%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -14.5%
Draw 30.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +4.0%
Away 21.1%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -13.5%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.9% Odds: 1.93 -21.1%
Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 3.35 -31.3%
BTTS 46.5% Odds: 1.80 -16.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal B
1.44
Hercules
0.88

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=48.3%

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