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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Group 2 - 35
Pinilla· Teruel
Sunday, May 3, 2026
10:00
Teruel
PPG 1.65
0-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
Tarazona
PPG 0.76
Draw· +11.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
37.3%
Odds: 2.25
EV: -16.1%
Draw
37.7%
Odds: 2.95
EV: +11.2%
Away
25.1%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -22.2%
Result: Draw ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
24.2%
Odds: 2.75
-33.5%
Over 3.5
9.3%
Odds: 5.00
-53.5%
BTTS
34.2%
Odds: 2.20
-24.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✔
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Teruel
0.96
Tarazona
0.74
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.65) vs P(Home)=37.3%