S. Trinidense vs San Lorenzo Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Trinidense face San Lorenzo in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Trinidense a 74% chance, the draw 18% and San Lorenzo 8%, so S. Trinidense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for S. Trinidense and 0.6 for San Lorenzo (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Trinidense are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.25 for San Lorenzo. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.0%. This match finished 2-1.