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Juventus U20 vs Frosinone U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 36 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 09:00

Juventus U20

PPG 1.76 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Frosinone U20

PPG 0.65 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.76) vs P(Home)=54.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-15.4%0-23.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.2%1-110.3%1-25.8%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.9%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.6%3-16.3%3-23.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.6%4+-22.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% — — —

Draw 25.3% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 58.3% — — —

Over 3.5 35.9% — — —

BTTS 58.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.9%

H 54% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.8%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventus U201.9

Frosinone U201.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.76

FROSINONE U20 · PPG 0.65

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.76) vs P(Home)=54.3%

Win probability 1X2

Juventus U20 (H) 54.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Frosinone U20 (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventus U20 face Frosinone U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventus U20 a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Frosinone U20 20%, so Juventus U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Juventus U20 and 1.1 for Frosinone U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventus U20 are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 0.65 for Frosinone U20. This match finished 1-1.

Juventus U20 vs Frosinone U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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