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MFC Metalurh vs Viktoriya M. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Sunday, May 3, 2026, 08:00

MFC Metalurh

PPG 0.58 · HOME

UPCOMING

Viktoriya M.

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.58), Away POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-111.9%0-29.3%0-34.9%0-4+2.7%1 1-07.6%1-112.0%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-03.9%2-16.1%2-24.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.3%3-12.0%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.5% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 48.6% — — —

Over 2.5 47.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 52.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.2%

A 49% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 11.9%

#3 1–2 9.4%

#4 0–0 7.6%

#5 0–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MFC Metalurh1.0

Viktoriya M.1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MFC METALURH · PPG 0.58

VIKTORIYA M. · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.58), Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

MFC Metalurh (H) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viktoriya M. (A) 48.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MFC Metalurh face Viktoriya M. in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MFC Metalurh a 23% chance, the draw 29% and Viktoriya M. 49%, so Viktoriya M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for MFC Metalurh and 1.6 for Viktoriya M. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MFC Metalurh are averaging 0.58 points per game versus 0.83 for Viktoriya M..

MFC Metalurh vs Viktoriya M. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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