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Kahibah vs Broadmeadow Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 03:00

Kahibah

PPG 0.80 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Broadmeadow

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.6% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-15.3%0-26.9%0-36.0%0-4+7.4%1 1-02.6%1-16.8%1-28.9%1-37.7%1-4+9.5%2 2-01.7%2-14.4%2-25.7%2-35.0%2-4+6.1%3 3-00.7%3-11.9%3-22.5%3-32.1%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.9% 15.4% 6.50 +3.4%

Draw 19.3% 22.7% 4.40 -15.1%

Away win 64.8% 73.5% 1.36 -11.9%

Over 2.5 74.6% 78.1% 1.28 -4.5%

Over 3.5 54.6% 55.2% 1.81 -1.2%

BTTS 68.1% 65.4% 1.53 +4.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 77%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob68.1%

A 65% / xG 1.3-2.6 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.9%

#2 1–1 6.8%

#3 1–3✓ 7.7%

#4 0–2 6.9%

#5 0–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kahibah1.3

Broadmeadow2.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.6% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KAHIBAH · PPG 0.80

BROADMEADOW · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Kahibah (H) 15.9%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +3.4%

Draw 19.3%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -15.1%

Broadmeadow (A) 64.8%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -11.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kahibah face Broadmeadow in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kahibah a 16% chance, the draw 19% and Broadmeadow 65%, so Broadmeadow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kahibah and 2.6 for Broadmeadow (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kahibah are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 2.25 for Broadmeadow. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 1-3.

Kahibah vs Broadmeadow Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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