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Philadelphia vs Nashville SC Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 11 Subaru Park· Chester Saturday, May 2, 2026 23:30
Philadelphia logo Philadelphia PPG 0.25
0-0 HIT CS4
Nashville SC logo Nashville SC PPG 2.00
Away· +69.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Philadelphia face Nashville SC in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Philadelphia a 13% chance, the draw 26% and Nashville SC 61%, so Nashville SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Philadelphia and 1.8 for Nashville SC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Philadelphia are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Nashville SC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +69.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.3%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -68.1%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -13.0%
Away 61.0%
Odds: 2.78 EV: +69.6%
Model lean: Away
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 1.85 -13.8%
Over 3.5 25.1% Odds: 3.25 -18.4%
BTTS 45.3% Odds: 1.70 -23.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Philadelphia
0.74
Nashville SC
1.80

Model Suggestion

Away +69.6% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.25)

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