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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 11 Lower.com Field· Columbus Saturday, May 2, 2026 23:30
Columbus Crew logo Columbus Crew PPG 1.60
2-3 MISS
Minnesota Utd logo Minnesota Utd PPG 1.67
Draw· +13.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.6%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -21.1%
Draw 29.4%
Odds: 3.85 EV: +13.2%
Away 25.0%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +8.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.8% Odds: 1.65 -21.1%
Over 3.5 26.1% Odds: 2.62 -31.6%
BTTS 53.1% Odds: 1.62 -14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Columbus Crew
1.51
Minnesota Utd
1.07

Model Suggestion

BTTS -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+13.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.67)

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