Atlanta Utd vs CF Montreal Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 11 Mercedes-Benz Stadium· Atlanta Saturday, May 2, 2026 23:30

Atlanta Utd PPG 0.67

3-1 MISS

CF Montreal PPG 0.50

Away· +12.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlanta Utd face CF Montreal in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlanta Utd a 41% chance, the draw 27% and CF Montreal 32%, so Atlanta Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Atlanta Utd and 1.5 for CF Montreal (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlanta Utd are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.50 for CF Montreal. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.7%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.3%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -18.6%

Draw 26.5%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -4.6%

Away 32.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +12.7%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.70 +4.4%

Over 3.5 39.1% Odds: 2.80 +9.5%

BTTS 64.6% Odds: 1.60 +3.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlanta Utd

1.69

CF Montreal

1.48

Model SuggestionBTTS +3.4% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+12.7%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.50)