Athletico PR vs Gremio Prediction & Tips

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 14 Arena da Baixada· Curitiba Saturday, May 2, 2026 23:30

Athletico PR PPG 2.57

0-0 HIT CS5

Gremio PPG 0.29

Draw· -2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Home 52.1%

Odds: 1.81 EV: -5.7%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -2.7%

Away 19.7%

Odds: 4.35 EV: -14.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 47.2% Odds: 2.00 -5.6%

Over 3.5 25.5% Odds: 3.55 -9.5%

BTTS 50.4% Odds: 1.85 -6.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Athletico PR

1.63

Gremio

0.93

Model SuggestionHome -5.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -5.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs P(Home)=52.1%