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Spain - Segunda División
Regular Season - 36
Estadio de Gran Canaria· Las Palmas
Friday, April 17, 2026
19:00
Las Palmas
PPG 1.94
2-0
HIT CS5
Leganes
PPG 1.06
Away· +41.8%
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
40.1%
Odds: 1.65
EV: -33.8%
Draw
32.2%
Odds: 3.70
EV: +19.1%
Away
27.8%
Odds: 5.10
EV: +41.8%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
27.9%
Odds: 1.85
-48.4%
Over 3.5
11.5%
Odds: 3.25
-62.6%
BTTS
35.6%
Odds: 1.83
-34.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Las Palmas
1.03
Leganes
0.81
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=40.1%