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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 36 Estadio de Gran Canaria· Las Palmas Friday, April 17, 2026 19:00
Las Palmas logo Las Palmas PPG 1.94
2-0 HIT CS5
Leganes logo Leganes PPG 1.06
Away· +41.8% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.1%
Odds: 1.65 EV: -33.8%
Draw 32.2%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +19.1%
Away 27.8%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +41.8%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 27.9% Odds: 1.85 -48.4%
Over 3.5 11.5% Odds: 3.25 -62.6%
BTTS 35.6% Odds: 1.83 -34.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas
1.03
Leganes
0.81

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=40.1%

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