Miami FC vs Brooklyn FC Prediction— USA - USL Championship

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Riccardo Silva Stadium Saturday, May 2, 2026 23:00

Miami FC PPG 1.33

3-2 MISS

Brooklyn FC PPG 0.00

Draw· +5.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Miami FC face Brooklyn FC in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Miami FC a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Brooklyn FC 23%, so Miami FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Miami FC and 0.9 for Brooklyn FC (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Miami FC are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Brooklyn FC. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.7%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.7%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -1.7%

Draw 31.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +5.7%

Away 23.2%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -31.6%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.0% Odds: 1.77 -27.4%

Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 2.95 -39.5%

BTTS 47.4% Odds: 1.62 -23.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Miami FC

1.39

Brooklyn FC

0.93

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data