Charleston vs Sporting JAX Prediction & Tips

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USA - USL Championship Group Stage Patriots Point Soccer Complex Saturday, May 2, 2026 23:00

Charleston PPG 2.33

4-0 MISS

Sporting JAX PPG 0.25

Away· +49.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.1%

Odds: 1.35 EV: -28.3%

Draw 26.8%

Odds: 4.40 EV: +17.9%

Away 20.2%

Odds: 7.40 EV: +49.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.7% Odds: 1.62 -14.6%

Over 3.5 30.5% Odds: 2.50 -23.8%

BTTS 54.7% Odds: 1.80 -1.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleston

1.76

Sporting JAX

1.02

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+49.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=53.1%