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Rubio Nu vs S. Luqueno Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Apertura - 19 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 23:00

Rubio Nu

PPG 1.11 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

S. Luqueno

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-110.9%0-25.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.4%1-113.2%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.5%2-18.1%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.1%3-13.3%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% — — —

Draw 32.3% — — —

Away win 30.1% — — —

Over 2.5 40.0% — — —

Over 3.5 19.7% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 9.0%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.2%

D 32% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0✓ 10.2%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rubio Nu1.2

S. Luqueno1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RUBIO NU · PPG 1.11

S. LUQUENO · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.11), Away POOR (0.89)

Win probability 1X2

Rubio Nu (H) 37.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Luqueno (A) 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rubio Nu face S. Luqueno in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rubio Nu a 38% chance, the draw 32% and S. Luqueno 30%, so Rubio Nu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rubio Nu and 1.1 for S. Luqueno (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rubio Nu are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 0.89 for S. Luqueno. This match finished 0-0.

Rubio Nu vs S. Luqueno Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Match Preview & Prediction

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