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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 12 Estadio La Ciudadela· Tucuman Saturday, May 2, 2026 23:00
SM Tucuman logo SM Tucuman PPG 1.40
2-1 MISS
A. Rafaela logo A. Rafaela PPG 1.25
Away· +34.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.4%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -38.2%
Draw 38.6%
Odds: 2.90 EV: +11.9%
Away 28.0%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +34.4%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 22.8% Odds: —
Over 3.5 8.5% Odds: —
BTTS 33.2% Odds: 2.45 -18.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

SM Tucuman
0.87
A. Rafaela
0.77

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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