Cienciano PPG 2.67
Comerciantes U. PPG 1.00Cienciano face Comerciantes U. in Peru - Primera División on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cienciano a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Comerciantes U. 20%, so Cienciano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Cienciano and 1.3 for Comerciantes U. (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cienciano are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Comerciantes U.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.6%. This match finished 1-0.
Based on 56 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs P(Home)=56.8%