CD Santa Cruz vs D. Iquique Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Chile - Primera B Regular Season - 10 Saturday, May 2, 2026 21:30

CD Santa Cruz PPG 1.25

2-2 MISS

D. Iquique PPG 0.25

Over3.5· +23.6% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

CD Santa Cruz face D. Iquique in Chile - Primera B on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CD Santa Cruz a 43% chance, the draw 28% and D. Iquique 29%, so CD Santa Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for CD Santa Cruz and 1.3 for D. Iquique (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CD Santa Cruz are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.25 for D. Iquique. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.2%

Odds: 2.33 EV: +0.7%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -11.0%

Away 29.0%

Odds: 2.85 EV: -17.3%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.8% Odds: 2.05 +14.4%

Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 3.70 +23.6%

BTTS 60.0% Odds: 1.80 +8.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

CD Santa Cruz

1.62

D. Iquique

1.30

Model SuggestionBTTS +8.0% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+23.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 66%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 14.0%

Bet Hit 61% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=43.2%