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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 14
Estádio Manoel Barradas· Salvador
Saturday, May 2, 2026
21:30
Vitoria
PPG 2.17
4-1
MISS
Coritiba
PPG 1.57
Away· +15.7%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
34.5%
Odds: 2.08
EV: -28.2%
Draw
32.9%
Odds: 3.25
EV: +6.9%
Away
32.6%
Odds: 3.55
EV: +15.7%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
38.5%
Odds: 2.15
-17.2%
Over 3.5
18.6%
Odds: 3.95
-26.5%
BTTS
47.1%
Odds: 1.85
-12.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria
1.13
Coritiba
1.09
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.57)