Palmeiras vs Santos Prediction & Tips

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Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 14 Allianz Parque· São Paulo Saturday, May 2, 2026 21:30

Palmeiras PPG 3.00

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Santos PPG 0.50

Over3.5· +14.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.4%

Odds: 1.51 EV: -7.3%

Draw 23.5%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -9.5%

Away 15.1%

Odds: 6.60 EV: -0.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.5% Odds: 1.91 +9.8%

Over 3.5 35.1% Odds: 3.25 +14.1%

BTTS 54.7% Odds: 1.95 +6.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras

2.05

Santos

0.94

Model SuggestionHome -7.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.4%