Jaguares de C. vs Cucuta Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Colombia - Primera A Apertura - 19 Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria· Monteria Saturday, May 2, 2026 21:00

Jaguares de C. PPG 1.44

2-0 MISS

Cucuta PPG 0.44

Over3.5· +20.6% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jaguares de C. face Cucuta in Colombia - Primera A on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaguares de C. a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Cucuta 31%, so Jaguares de C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Jaguares de C. and 1.3 for Cucuta (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaguares de C. are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.44 for Cucuta. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.5%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -0.4%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -9.3%

Away 30.6%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -11.3%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.8% Odds: 2.00 +11.6%

Over 3.5 33.5% Odds: 3.60 +20.6%

BTTS 60.3% Odds: 1.77 +6.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Jaguares de C.

1.58

Cucuta

1.34

Model SuggestionBTTS +6.7% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 7.5%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=41.5%