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Peru - Primera División
Apertura - 13
Estadio Union Tarma· Tarma
Saturday, May 2, 2026
20:15
ADT
PPG 1.33
1-0
HIT CS2
Atletico Grau
PPG 0.33
Draw· +8.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
47.7%
Odds: 1.75
EV: -16.5%
Draw
30.9%
Odds: 3.50
EV: +8.2%
Away
21.4%
Odds: 4.70
EV: +0.6%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
40.0%
Odds: 2.10
-16.0%
Over 3.5
19.8%
Odds: 3.85
-23.8%
BTTS
46.0%
Odds: 1.93
-11.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
ADT
1.41
Atletico Grau
0.88
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 56 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
63%
O2.5/Under
64%
BTTS/No
63%
Score Hit
52%
ROI
-0.6%
Bet Hit
54%
(26 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=47.7%