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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 13 Estadio Union Tarma· Tarma Saturday, May 2, 2026 20:15
ADT logo ADT PPG 1.33
1-0 HIT CS2
Atletico Grau logo Atletico Grau PPG 0.33
Draw· +8.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.7%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -16.5%
Draw 30.9%
Odds: 3.50 EV: +8.2%
Away 21.4%
Odds: 4.70 EV: +0.6%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.0% Odds: 2.10 -16.0%
Over 3.5 19.8% Odds: 3.85 -23.8%
BTTS 46.0% Odds: 1.93 -11.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

ADT
1.41
Atletico Grau
0.88

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -0.6%
Bet Hit 54% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=47.7%

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