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Orlando Pride W vs Washington S. W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 20:00

Orlando Pride W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWL

2 – 4

FULL TIME

Washington S. W

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-113.0%0-28.1%0-33.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.6%1-113.2%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.4%2-16.7%2-24.2%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.8%3-12.3%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.2% 37.7% 2.65 -25.3%

Draw 32.4% 30.8% 3.25 +5.3%

Away win 39.3% 41.7% 2.40 -5.7%

Over 2.5 39.3% 51.8% 1.93 -24.1%

Over 3.5 19.2% 29.9% 3.35 -35.7%

BTTS 47.4% 58.8% 1.70 -19.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -6.6%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.4%

A 39% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 0–1 13.0%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orlando Pride W1.0

Washington S. W1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ORLANDO PRIDE W · PPG 1.33

WASHINGTON S. W · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

Chance this pick lands

47%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Orlando Pride W (H) 28.2%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -25.3%

Draw 32.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +5.3%

Washington S. W (A) 39.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -5.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Orlando Pride W face Washington S. W in USA - NWSL Women on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orlando Pride W a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Washington S. W 39%, so Washington S. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Orlando Pride W and 1.2 for Washington S. W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orlando Pride W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Washington S. W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 2-4.

Orlando Pride W vs Washington S. W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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