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Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 11 UCD Bowl· Dublin Friday, April 17, 2026 18:45
UC Dublin logo UC Dublin PPG 2.00
2-1 MISS
Finn Harps logo Finn Harps PPG 1.00
Draw· +5.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.2%
Odds: 2.08 EV: -3.9%
Draw 31.6%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +5.9%
Away 22.2%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -23.4%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 27.3% Odds: 1.85 -49.5%
Over 3.5 11.1% Odds: 3.10 -65.6%
BTTS 33.5% Odds: 1.67 -44.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

UC Dublin
1.13
Finn Harps
0.68

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -14.2%
Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=46.2%

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