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Boyaca Chico vs Llaneros Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Colombia - Primera A logo Colombia flag Colombia - Primera A Apertura - 19 Estadio La Independencia· Tunja Saturday, May 2, 2026 19:00
Boyaca Chico logo Boyaca Chico PPG 1.63
3-0 MISS
Llaneros logo Llaneros PPG 1.33
Draw· +7.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Boyaca Chico face Llaneros in Colombia - Primera A on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boyaca Chico a 28% chance, the draw 35% and Llaneros 37%, so Llaneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Boyaca Chico and 1.1 for Llaneros (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boyaca Chico are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.33 for Llaneros. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.3%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.4%
Odds: 2.92 EV: -17.1%
Draw 34.6%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +7.3%
Away 37.0%
Odds: 2.48 EV: -8.2%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.9% Odds: 2.45 -19.4%
Over 3.5 14.6% Odds: 4.75 -30.6%
BTTS 42.2% Odds: 2.05 -13.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Boyaca Chico
0.93
Llaneros
1.09

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 63%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 7.5%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org