Botafogo vs Remo Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 14 Olimpico Joao Havelange· Rio de Janeiro Saturday, May 2, 2026 19:00

Botafogo PPG 1.60

1-2 MISS

Remo PPG 0.29

Over3.5· +44.5% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo face Remo in Brazil - Serie A on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Remo 20%, so Botafogo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Botafogo and 1.3 for Remo (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.29 for Remo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +44.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.6%

Odds: 1.52 EV: -12.4%

Draw 22.5%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -10.0%

Away 19.9%

Odds: 6.20 EV: +23.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: 1.83 +24.6%

Over 3.5 46.6% Odds: 3.10 +44.5%

BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.90 +24.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo

2.23

Remo

1.28

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +24.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+44.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=57.6%