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Spain - Segunda División Saturday, May 2, 2026 19:00 
Eibar PPG 2.26 
Malaga PPG 1.17
Spain - Segunda División Saturday, May 2, 2026 19:00 Eibar PPG 2.262-4 MISS
Malaga PPG 1.17Away· +2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 45.2% Odds: 2.00 -9.6%
Over 3.5 23.9% Odds: 3.60 -14.0%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.77 -8.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Eibar 1.41
Malaga 1.07
Model Suggestion
BTTS -8.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 70 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.26) vs P(Home)=42.9%