Kerry vs Treaty Utd Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 11 Mounthawk Park· Tralee Friday, April 17, 2026 18:45

Kerry PPG 1.00

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Treaty Utd PPG 0.20

Away· +12.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%

Odds: 2.48 EV: -12.5%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -20.0%

Away 38.9%

Odds: 2.90 EV: +12.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 2.10 +6.0%

Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 3.85 +9.3%

BTTS 54.7% Odds: 1.80 -1.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kerry

1.31

Treaty Utd

1.39

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.20)