Sporting KC vs Seattle Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:30

Sporting KC PPG 0.25

1-1 HIT CS3

Seattle PPG 2.00

Away· +14.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting KC face Seattle in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting KC a 11% chance, the draw 23% and Seattle 66%, so Seattle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sporting KC and 2.0 for Seattle (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting KC are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Seattle. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 10.7%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -55.1%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -9.9%

Away 66.4%

Odds: 1.73 EV: +14.9%

Model lean: Away

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.8% Odds: 1.62 -17.7%

Over 3.5 28.7% Odds: 2.55 -26.8%

BTTS 45.1% Odds: 1.60 -27.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting KC

0.70

Seattle

2.00

Model SuggestionAway +14.9% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 61%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.25)