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Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 11 Turners Cross· Cork Friday, April 17, 2026 18:45
Cork City logo Cork City PPG 3.00
2-1 HIT CS4
Wexford logo Wexford PPG 1.20
Away· +110.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.1%
Odds: 1.32 EV: -24.6%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +4.9%
Away 20.0%
Odds: 10.50 EV: +110.0%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.2% Odds: 1.75 -6.9%
Over 3.5 30.9% Odds: 2.80 -13.5%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 2.05 +7.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cork City
1.82
Wexford
0.98

Model Suggestion

Home -24.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+110.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=57.1%

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