Ireland - First DivisionRegular Season - 11Turners Cross· CorkFriday, April 17, 202618:45
Cork CityPPG 3.00
2-1HIT CS4
WexfordPPG 1.20
Away· +110.0%✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home57.1%
Odds: 1.32EV: -24.6%
Draw22.8%
Odds: 4.60EV: +4.9%
Away20.0%
Odds: 10.50EV: +110.0%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.553.2%Odds: 1.75-6.9%
Over 3.530.9%Odds: 2.80-13.5%
BTTS52.4%Odds: 2.05+7.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd1-1✘
3rd2-0✘
4th2-1✔
5th3-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cork City
1.82
Wexford
0.98
Model Suggestion
Home-24.6%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+110.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=57.1%