Los Andes vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 12 Estadio Eduardo Gallardo Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:30

Los Andes PPG 1.00

1-1 HIT CS3

Colon Santa Fe PPG 1.00

Draw· +7.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Andes face Colon Santa Fe in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Andes a 35% chance, the draw 41% and Colon Santa Fe 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Los Andes and 0.6 for Colon Santa Fe (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 18% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Andes are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Colon Santa Fe. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%

Odds: 2.35 EV: -18.0%

Draw 40.7%

Odds: 2.65 EV: +7.8%

Away 24.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -18.3%

Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 18.2% Odds: 3.45 -37.2%

Over 3.5 6.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 28.3% Odds: 2.55 -27.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Los Andes

0.82

Colon Santa Fe

0.64

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)