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Los Andes vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 18:30

Los Andes

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Colon Santa Fe

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.2%0-114.9%0-24.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.0%1-112.2%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.8%2-15.0%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.1%3-11.4%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 42.6% 2.35 -18.0%

Draw 40.7% 37.7% 2.65 +7.8%

Away win 24.4% 29.9% 3.35 -18.3%

Over 2.5 18.2% 29.0% 3.45 -37.2%

Over 3.5 6.1% — — —

BTTS 28.3% 39.2% 2.55 -27.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob28.3%

H 35% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 18% / NoBTTS 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.2%

#2 1–0 19.0%

#3 1–1✓ 12.2%

#4 0–1 14.9%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Los Andes0.8

Colon Santa Fe0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 18.2% · O3.5 PROB 6.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LOS ANDES · PPG 1.00

COLON SANTA FE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Los Andes (H) 34.9%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -18.0%

Draw 40.7%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +7.8%

Colon Santa Fe (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -18.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Andes face Colon Santa Fe in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Andes a 35% chance, the draw 41% and Colon Santa Fe 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Los Andes and 0.6 for Colon Santa Fe (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 18% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Andes are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Colon Santa Fe. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Los Andes vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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