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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 12 Estadio Juan Pasquale· Belgrano Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:30
D. de Belgrano logo D. de Belgrano PPG 1.00
1-1 HIT CS3
Central Norte logo Central Norte PPG 0.67
Draw· +18.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.0%
Odds: 1.83 EV: -30.5%
Draw 41.6%
Odds: 2.85 EV: +18.6%
Away 20.4%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +2.0%
Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 15.8% Odds: 3.10 -51.0%
Over 3.5 5.0% Odds: —
BTTS 25.1% Odds: 2.55 -36.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. de Belgrano
0.83
Central Norte
0.54

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.67)

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