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Argentina - Primera Nacional
Regular Season - 12
Estadio Juan Pasquale· Belgrano
Saturday, May 2, 2026
18:30
D. de Belgrano
PPG 1.00
1-1
HIT CS3
Central Norte
PPG 0.67
Draw· +18.6%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
38.0%
Odds: 1.83
EV: -30.5%
Draw
41.6%
Odds: 2.85
EV: +18.6%
Away
20.4%
Odds: 5.00
EV: +2.0%
Result: Draw ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
15.8%
Odds: 3.10
-51.0%
Over 3.5
5.0%
Odds: —
—
BTTS
25.1%
Odds: 2.55
-36.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✔
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
D. de Belgrano
0.83
Central Norte
0.54
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.67)