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Slovenia - 1. SNL logo Slovenia flag Slovenia - 1. SNL Regular Season - 33 Stadion Z'dežele· Celje Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:15
NK Celje logo NK Celje PPG 2.60
2-3 MISS
Bravo logo Bravo PPG 1.69
Over2.5· -0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.3%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -3.8%
Draw 21.9%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -10.2%
Away 16.8%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -19.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.1% Odds: 1.50 -0.9%
Over 3.5 44.2% Odds: 2.20 -2.8%
BTTS 62.3% Odds: 1.50 -6.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

NK Celje
2.26
Bravo
1.14

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=61.3%

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