Al Hazm vs Al Hilal Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 31 Al-Hazem Club Stadium· Ar Rass Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:00

Al Hazm PPG 1.53

0-3 HIT CS5

Al Hilal PPG 2.38

Home· +114.2% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Hazm face Al Hilal in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Hazm a 15% chance, the draw 22% and Al Hilal 63%, so Al Hilal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Hazm and 2.3 for Al Hilal (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Hazm are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 2.38 for Al Hilal. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +114.2%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.3%

Odds: 14.00 EV: +114.2%

Draw 21.6%

Odds: 6.50 EV: +40.4%

Away 63.1%

Odds: 1.18 EV: -25.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.9% Odds: 1.35 -12.4%

Over 3.5 42.9% Odds: 1.85 -20.6%

BTTS 60.2% Odds: 1.77 +6.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 0-3 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Hazm

1.07

Al Hilal

2.27

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -12.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-12.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -4.1%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home GOOD (1.53)