FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Peru - Primera División Apertura - 13 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon· Cajamarca Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:00

FC Cajamarca PPG 1.00

3-2 MISS

Sport Boys PPG 0.50

Over3.5· +3.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Cajamarca face Sport Boys in Peru - Primera División on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Cajamarca a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Sport Boys 30%, so FC Cajamarca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for FC Cajamarca and 1.2 for Sport Boys (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Cajamarca are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Sport Boys. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.7%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.6%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -10.7%

Draw 29.6%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -3.8%

Away 29.8%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -3.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.2% Odds: 2.10 +3.3%

Over 3.5 27.3% Odds: 3.80 +3.7%

BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.80 -0.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Cajamarca

1.44

Sport Boys

1.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+3.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)