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Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 11 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:45

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.20 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Longford Town

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-115.5%0-27.7%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.5%1-113.4%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.9%2-15.8%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.7%3-11.7%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 55.6% 1.80 -44.9%

Draw 32.2% 27.0% 3.70 +19.1%

Away win 37.2% 24.4% 4.10 +52.5%

Over 2.5 28.4% 54.6% 1.83 -48.0%

Over 3.5 11.8% 32.3% 3.10 -63.4%

BTTS 36.4% 57.8% 1.73 -37.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob36.4%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.7%

#2 0–1 15.5%

#3 1–0 13.5%

#4 1–1 13.4%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers0.9

Longford Town1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.4% · O3.5 PROB 11.8%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.20

LONGFORD TOWN · PPG 0.60

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 30.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -44.9%

Draw 32.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +19.1%

Longford Town (A) 37.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +52.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face Longford Town in Ireland - First Division on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Longford Town 37%, so Longford Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cobh Ramblers and 1.0 for Longford Town (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.60 for Longford Town. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +52.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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