Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 11 Friday, April 17, 2026 18:45

Cobh Ramblers PPG 1.20

0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Longford Town PPG 0.60

Away· +52.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face Longford Town in Ireland - First Division on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Longford Town 37%, so Longford Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cobh Ramblers and 1.0 for Longford Town (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.60 for Longford Town. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +52.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.6%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -44.9%

Draw 32.2%

Odds: 3.70 EV: +19.1%

Away 37.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +52.5%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.4% Odds: 1.83 -48.0%

Over 3.5 11.8% Odds: 3.10 -63.4%

BTTS 36.4% Odds: 1.73 -37.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cobh Ramblers

0.86

Longford Town

0.99

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -14.2%

Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.60)