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France - Ligue 2 logo France flag France - Ligue 2 Regular Season - 33 Stade de l'Aube· Troyes Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:00
Troyes logo Troyes PPG 2.50
4-0 MISS
Laval logo Laval PPG 1.13
Draw· +8.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.7%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -12.6%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +8.4%
Away 17.1%
Odds: 5.50 EV: -5.9%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.7% Odds: 1.70 -18.9%
Over 3.5 26.0% Odds: 2.80 -27.2%
BTTS 49.3% Odds: 1.73 -14.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Troyes
1.71
Laval
0.87

Model Suggestion

Home -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+8.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=55.7%

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