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France - Ligue 2
Regular Season - 33
Stade de l'Aube· Troyes
Saturday, May 2, 2026
18:00
Troyes
PPG 2.50
4-0
MISS
Laval
PPG 1.13
Draw· +8.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
55.7%
Odds: 1.57
EV: -12.6%
Draw
27.1%
Odds: 4.00
EV: +8.4%
Away
17.1%
Odds: 5.50
EV: -5.9%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.7%
Odds: 1.70
-18.9%
Over 3.5
26.0%
Odds: 2.80
-27.2%
BTTS
49.3%
Odds: 1.73
-14.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Troyes
1.71
Laval
0.87
Model Suggestion
Home
-12.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+8.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=55.7%