Rodez Aveyron vs Saint-Etienne Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 2 Regular Season - 33 Stade Paul-Lignon· Rodez Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:00

Rodez Aveyron PPG 1.75

2-1 HIT CS5

Saint-Etienne PPG 1.56

Home· +11.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +11.7%

Draw 31.0%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +11.6%

Away 34.1%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -28.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.1% Odds: 1.65 -25.6%

Over 3.5 23.8% Odds: 2.55 -39.3%

BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.50 -21.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Rodez Aveyron

1.25

Saint-Etienne

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -21.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+11.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.56)