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Boulogne vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 33 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 18:00

Boulogne

PPG 0.94 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Annecy

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

Model probability 53.8% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-110.8%0-27.7%0-33.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.8%1-112.5%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.1%2-17.2%2-25.1%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.9%3-12.8%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% 26.3% 3.80 +9.1%

Draw 30.0% 29.9% 3.35 +0.5%

Away win 41.3% 50.0% 2.00 -17.4%

Over 2.5 47.5% 47.6% 2.10 -0.3%

Over 3.5 25.9% 26.7% 3.75 -2.9%

BTTS 53.8% 54.6% 1.83 -1.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.8%

A 41% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 0–1 10.8%

#4 1–2✓ 8.9%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boulogne1.2

Annecy1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BOULOGNE · PPG 0.94

ANNECY · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

Chance this pick lands

54%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.94) vs Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Boulogne (H) 28.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +9.1%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +0.5%

Annecy (A) 41.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Boulogne face Annecy in France - Ligue 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boulogne a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Annecy 41%, so Annecy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Boulogne and 1.4 for Annecy (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boulogne are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.38 for Annecy. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Boulogne vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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